Three Questions About Medicaid for New York Officials

State officials have so far dodged questions about the future of New York’s largest health plan. A hearing on Tuesday could provide some insight.

Jie Jenny Zou   ·   February 9, 2026
Governor Kathy Hochul has provided sparse details about the future of New York's Medicaid program, which makes up the largest share of the state budget. | Photos: Bill Badzo; Vlad Fratila | Illustration: Leor Stylar

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Over 95 percent of New Yorkers have health insurance — one of the highest coverage rates in the country. That could soon change if lawmakers are unable to chart a new course for the state’s Medicaid program amid federal cuts.

Governor Kathy Hochul has provided sparse details about the future of the program, which makes up the largest share of the state budget. The public may gain more insight on Tuesday, when lawmakers will get a chance to grill agency heads at the annual Medicaid budget hearing.

President Donald Trump’s “big beautiful bill” has already jeopardized funding for the state’s flagship Essential Plan, which covers New Yorkers not eligible for Medicaid. That plan has expanded over the past decade and now covers 1.7 million New Yorkers. On top of further burdening the state’s health care system, advocates say forthcoming federal cuts to Medicaid could undermine the state’s progress on curbing overdoses, trigger widespread job losses, and threaten local economies.

Here are our questions about the future of New York’s Medicaid program.

What will the Essential Plan look like this year, and how will the state fund the program?

Some federal funding for the program expired on January 1, leaving the free or low-cost health care plan in financial limbo.

In September, the state sought federal approval for a change to the Essential Plan that could save coverage for an estimated 1.3 million New Yorkers, but it has yet to receive it. The state had anticipated a decision by the end of 2025, but November’s government shutdown has led to an indefinite delay. It’s unclear what will happen if the Trump administration rejects the proposal.

When New York Focus asked about a backup plan last month, state health officials said only that they continue to wait for a decision from the federal government.

Even if New York’s maneuver to revamp is successful, hundreds of thousands of New Yorkers would lose coverage under changes to the plan’s eligibility guidelines as soon as July. Health care advocates have pointed out that with premiums on the rise, many of those residents would not be able to afford coverage through the state’s health care exchange.

Does the state have a plan to offer coverage to New Yorkers excluded under new federal eligibility guidelines?

Come October, federal funding for certain immigrant populations will be pulled back. And in 2027, new Medicaid work rule requirements will go into effect, threatening coverage for an estimated 500,000 to 1.2 million New Yorkers.

“Denying health insurance to this population will not cause their healthcare costs to simply disappear,” wrote Michael Kinnucan, from the left-leaning Fiscal Policy Institute, in a briefing. “Thus, the policy question confronting New York is not really whether to increase state health spending to compensate for federal cuts, but how to do so.” 

State Senator Gustavo Rivera is once again backing the New York Health Act, a decades-old proposal that seeks a state-run, single payer health care system. Health care advocates are also urging the state to consider alternatives such as state-funded premium assistance programs and extending coverage to newly excluded immigrants.

How will the state ensure treatment options are accessible to as many New Yorkers as possible?

Medicaid cuts are projected to disproportionately impact health care facilities that primarily serve low-income patients, such as safety net hospitals and substance abuse treatment centers. That could worsen existing racial and geographic disparities in health care access throughout the state.

“For opioid treatment providers, Medicaid is not simply a payer — it is the foundation of the treatment system,” warned the Coalition of Medication-Assisted Treatment Providers and Advocates in testimony submitted to Albany. “Even short gaps in coverage result in missed medication doses and increased overdose risk.” The group is calling on the state to exclude New Yorkers with substance use disorders from work requirements to ensure continuous access to life-saving treatment.

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A photo of Jie Jenny Zou.
Jie Jenny Zou covers social services and public benefits for New York Focus. She previously worked as an investigative reporter at the Los Angeles Times and the Center for Public Integrity where she delved into topics ranging from environmental health and worker safety… more
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